Highlights

Rainfall Prediction: During the next week (March 26th–01st April) , moderate rainfall (25–50 mm) is predicted for the North-Western, Sabaragamuwa, Southern, North-Central, Eastern, and Uva provinces, while light to moderate rainfall is predicted for the Western and Northern provinces.

Monitored Rainfall: During the last 8 days (18 Mar – 26 Mar), SL received an average of 4.0 mm/day of rainfall, while in the hydro catchments, the average rainfall was 4.7 mm/day.  Highest daily rainfall was in Colombo on 21st March (64.5 mm). 

Monitored and Predicted Wind: From 18- 24 Mar , winds at 850 mb (1.5 km) from the East reached to 6 m/s. From 27 Mar- 02 Apr, winds are predicted to come from the South, and wind speed reached to 2 m/s.

Monitored Sea and Land Temperature: Average maximum land surface temperature was 32.2 ºC in the last week . The Northern plains were the warmest, followed by the Western and Southern plains. The sea surface temperature around Sri Lanka ranged between 0.25°C and 1.5°C above average from March 18 to March 24, 2025.

Climate Bulletin for Sri Lanka (Week of 28  March – 04 April 2025)

 

Interpretation

Monitoring

Rainfall: Average Rainfall in the Met Stations for the previous week of (20 Mar – 26 Mar) = 4.0 mm/day. Maximum Daily Rainfall: 64.5 mm & Minimum Daily Rainfall: 0.0 mm.

Wind: Easterly winds prevailed in the sea area and around the island last week. 

Temperatures: Warmer temperatures were recorded in the Northern, Western, and North-Western provinces, while it remained normal in other provinces of Sri Lanka.

Rainfall: During the next week (March 26th–01st April) , moderate rainfall (25–50 mm) is predicted for the North-Western, Sabaragamuwa, Southern, North-Central, Eastern, and Uva provinces, while light to moderate rainfall is predicted for the Western and Northern provinces.

Temperatures: The temperature will remain above normal in some parts of the Northern, North-Western, Western, and North-Central Provinces from March 27 to April 4, while it will remain normal in other parts of Sri Lanka during this period.

Teleconnections: The MJO will slightly enhance rainfall from March 25 to 09 April.

Seasonal Precipitation: The precipitation forecast for the April-May-June, 2025 season shows a 90% or more tendency toward normal precipitation for the Northern half of the country, while it shows a 90% or more tendency toward normal precipitation for the Southern half of the country.

Terminology for Rainfall Ranges

TerminologyRainfall (mm/week)
Light ShowersLess than 12.5 mm
Light to ModerateBetween 12.5 mm and 25 mm
ModerateBetween 25 mm and 50 mm
Fairly HeavyBetween 50 mm and 100 mm
HeavyBetween 100 mm and 150 mm
Very HeavyMore than 150 mm