Blogs
March 13, 2026
Climate Bulletin for Sri Lanka (Week of 13 March – 20 March 2026)
Highlights
Predictions: From 10 – 16 Mar, the US NOAA Climate Prediction Center predicts a decrease in rainfall over SL. During this period, Eastern Hills and Plains are predicted to receive light showers ranging from 0-5 mm. From 12 – 18 Mar, wind speeds are predicted to be 1-3 m/s lower compared to the previous week. Western hills and slopes are predicted to have temperatures of 34 – 35 °C which is above normal for March.
Monitoring: From 4 – 10 Mar there was no rainfall recorded across most stations and days, resulting in a daily average rainfall of only 0.2 mm. The highest rainfall of 10 mm was in Trincomalee on 9 Mar, and the second highest rainfall of 8 mm was in Colombo on the same day. During 2– 8 Mar, winds were from Northeast with 2 – 4 m/s. Overall the temperature was typical for this season across SL. The Southern plains had an average maximum temperature of 32.8°C. The Eastern Hills had an average minimum temperature of 27.2°C. SL Department of Meteorology issued heat advisories for Western, North-Western, Sabaragamuwa and Southern provinces on 10, 11 and 12 Mar.
Rainfall Prediction: From 10 –16 Mar 2026, lights showers (0-5 mm) is predicted for the entire island. From 17-23 Mar, rainfall is predicted to increase throughout SL, specially in the Western Hills, Eastern Plains and Hills. (Source: NOAA CPC)
Monitored Rainfall: During 4 – 10 Mar, there was no rainfall recorded across most stations, resulting in a daily average rainfall of only 0.2 mm. The highest rainfall of 10 mm was in Trincomalee on 9 Mar, and the second highest rainfall of 8 mm was in Colombo on the same day.
Monitored Land & Sea Temperature: During 4 – 10 Mar, there was no rainfall recorded across most stations, resulting in a daily average rainfall of only 0.2 mm. The highest rainfall of 10 mm was in Trincomalee on 9 Mar, and the second highest rainfall of 8 mm was in Colombo on the same day.
Monitored & Predicted Wind: From 2 – 8 Mar 2026, winds at 1.5 km elevation were mostly from the Northeast at speeds ranging 2 – 4 m/s. From 12 – 18 Mar 2026, winds are predicted to range from 1-3 m/s from the Southeast. Wind is slowing down from previous week as expected.
Terminology for Rainfall Ranges
| Terminology | Rainfall (mm/week) |
| Light Showers | Less than 12.5 mm |
| Light to Moderate | Between 12.5 mm and 25 mm |
| Moderate | Between 25 mm and 50 mm |
| Fairly Heavy | Between 50 mm and 100 mm |
| Heavy | Between 100 mm and 150 mm |
| Very Heavy | More than 150 mm |